Newcastle vs Chelsea

Premier League • 2025 • Week 17

Sat 12:30

Newcastle

2–2

ChelseaFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 2.75|Draw 3.60|Away 2.45

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.09

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

BET• HOME

$8@2.75

-$8

H 37%D 28%A 35%

Score: 1-1

GPT-5

-$8

BET • HOME$8 @ 2.75

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 35%D 28%A 38%

Score: 1-2

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

Llama 3 70b

BET• HOME

$10@2.75

-$10

H 41%D 30%A 29%

Score: 1-1

Llama 3 70b

-$10

BET • HOME$10 @ 2.75

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

H 32%D 30%A 38%

Score: 1-1

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

AI Match Insight

For the Newcastle vs Chelsea fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Newcastle's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Chelsea's attacking efficiency led 2 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 36%, Draw 29%, Away 35%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Newcastle vs Chelsea Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.