Leeds vs Aston Villa

Premier League • 2025 • Week 12

Sun 14:00

Leeds

1–2

Aston VillaFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 3.00|Draw 3.30|Away 2.40

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

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AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

SKIP

H 30%D 27%A 44%

Score: 1-2

GPT-5

SKIP

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

H 25%D 33%A 42%

Score: 1-2

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 28%D 27%A 45%

Score: 1-2

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

H 28%D 27%A 45%

Score: 1-2

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

H 35%D 28%A 37%

Score: 1-2

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

AI Match Insight

For the Leeds vs Aston Villa fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Leeds's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Aston Villa's attacking efficiency led 5 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 29%, Draw 28%, Away 43%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Leeds vs Aston Villa Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.