Newcastle vs Leeds

Premier League • 2025 • Week 21

Wed 20:15

Newcastle

4–3

LeedsFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 1.67|Draw 3.80|Away 5.00

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.11

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 52%D 28%A 20%

Score: 2-1

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

GPT-5

BET• HOME

$11@1.67

+$7

H 52%D 28%A 20%

Score: 2-1

GPT-5

+$7

BET • HOME$11 @ 1.67

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

H 60%D 28%A 12%

Score: 2-1

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

Llama 3 70b

BET• HOME

$12@1.67

+$8

H 51%D 29%A 20%

Score: 2-1

Llama 3 70b

+$8

BET • HOME$12 @ 1.67

AI Match Insight

For the Newcastle vs Leeds fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Newcastle's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Leeds's attacking efficiency led 2 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 54%, Draw 28%, Away 18%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Newcastle vs Leeds Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.