Manchester City vs Brighton

Premier League • 2025 • Week 21

Wed 19:30

Manchester City

1–1

BrightonFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 1.40|Draw 5.25|Away 6.50

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.12

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 65%D 23%A 12%

Score: 2-0

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

GPT-5

BET• DRAW

$5@5.25

+$19

H 68%D 19%A 13%

Score: 2-0

GPT-5

+$19

BET • DRAW$5 @ 5.25

Gemini 2.5 Flash

BET• HOME

$15@1.40

-$15

H 80%D 12%A 8%

Score: 3-0

Gemini 2.5 Flash

-$15

BET • HOME$15 @ 1.40

Llama 3 70b

BET• HOME

$16@1.40

-$16

H 64%D 24%A 12%

Score: 2-0

Llama 3 70b

-$16

BET • HOME$16 @ 1.40

AI Match Insight

For the Manchester City vs Brighton fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Manchester City's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Brighton's attacking efficiency led one model to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 69%, Draw 20%, Away 11%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Manchester City vs Brighton Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.