Everton vs Newcastle

Premier League • 2025 • Week 13

Sat 17:30

Everton

1–4

NewcastleFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 2.80|Draw 3.25|Away 2.63

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.08

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

BET• HOME

$8@2.80

-$8

H 42%D 29%A 29%

Score: 1-1

GPT-5

-$8

BET • HOME$8 @ 2.80

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 43%D 30%A 28%

Score: 1-1

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

H 33%D 33%A 33%

Score: 2-1

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

H 52%D 28%A 20%

Score: 2-1

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

H 43%D 30%A 27%

Score: 1-1

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

AI Match Insight

For the Everton vs Newcastle fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Everton's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Newcastle's attacking efficiency led 4 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 43%, Draw 30%, Away 27%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Everton vs Newcastle Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.