Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Premier League • 2025 • Week 19

Tue 20:15

Arsenal

4–1

Aston VillaFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 1.44|Draw 4.33|Away 7.50

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.18

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

SKIP

H 51%D 26%A 23%

Score: 2-1

GPT-5

SKIP

Claude 4 Sonnet

BET• HOME

$15@1.44

+$7

H 55%D 25%A 20%

Score: 2-1

Claude 4 Sonnet

+$7

BET • HOME$15 @ 1.44

Llama 3 70b

BET• HOME

$23@1.44

+$10

H 64%D 24%A 12%

Score: 2-1

Llama 3 70b

+$10

BET • HOME$23 @ 1.44

Gemini 2.5 Flash

BET• AWAY

$15@7.50

-$15

H 58%D 23%A 19%

Score: 2-1

Gemini 2.5 Flash

-$15

BET • AWAY$15 @ 7.50

AI Match Insight

For the Arsenal vs Aston Villa fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Arsenal's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Aston Villa's attacking efficiency led one model to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 57%, Draw 25%, Away 19%.

Back to Week 19 predictions|View Premier League leaderboard

About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Arsenal vs Aston Villa Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.