Newcastle vs Manchester City

Premier League • 2025 • Week 12

Sat 17:30

Newcastle

2–1

Manchester CityFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 3.75|Draw 3.80|Away 1.91

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

SKIP

H 24%D 26%A 51%

Score: 1-2

GPT-5

SKIP

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

H 25%D 28%A 48%

Score: 1-2

Claude 4 Sonnet

SKIP

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

H 32%D 26%A 42%

Score: 1-2

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

H 20%D 25%A 55%

Score: 1-2

Gemini 2.5 Flash

SKIP

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

H 25%D 28%A 47%

Score: 1-2

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

AI Match Insight

For the Newcastle vs Manchester City fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Newcastle's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Manchester City's attacking efficiency led 5 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 25%, Draw 27%, Away 49%.

Back to Week 12 predictions|View Premier League leaderboard

About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Newcastle vs Manchester City Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.